SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine Under-23s win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 1-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ukraine Under-23s | Draw | Argentina Under-23s |
54.64% ( 0.16) | 21.15% ( -0.05) | 24.21% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.14% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.92% ( 0.11) | 34.08% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.05% ( 0.13) | 55.95% ( -0.13) |
| Ukraine Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.39% ( 0.09) | 12.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.27% ( 0.18) | 38.73% ( -0.17) |
| Argentina Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( -0.02) | 26.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( -0.03) | 61.83% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ukraine Under-23s | Draw | Argentina Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.64% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.21% |
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