SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq Under-23s win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina Under-23s | Draw | Iraq Under-23s |
26.36% ( 11.29) | 23.57% ( 4.17) | 50.07% ( -15.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( 4.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( -3.36) | 43.47% ( 3.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( -3.39) | 65.87% ( 3.39) |
| Argentina Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( 9.32) | 30.01% ( -9.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.87% ( 9.9) | 66.13% ( -9.9) |
| Iraq Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( -6.01) | 17.46% ( 6.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.06% ( -11.66) | 47.94% ( 11.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina Under-23s | Draw | Iraq Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 2.37) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 2.1)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 1.83)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 1.34)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.89)3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.91)Other @ 3.13% Total : 26.36% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 1.89) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 1.18)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.74)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.62)0-2 @ 7.98% ( -2.59)1-3 @ 5.59% ( -1.54)0-3 @ 4.64% ( -3)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -1.42)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -2.11)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.34)Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.07% |
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