Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq Under-23s win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina Under-23s would win this match.
Result | ||
Argentina Under-23s | Draw | Iraq Under-23s |
26.36% (![]() | 23.57% (![]() | 50.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.53% (![]() | 43.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.13% (![]() | 65.87% (![]() |
Argentina Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.99% (![]() | 30.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.87% (![]() | 66.13% (![]() |
Iraq Under-23s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.54% (![]() | 17.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.06% (![]() | 47.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Argentina Under-23s | Draw | Iraq Under-23s |
2-1 @ 6.63% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 26.36% | 1-1 @ 11% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 9.61% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.14% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.07% |
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