Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.

Result
Valenciennes	Draw	Pau
32.3% ( -0.11)	27.92% ( 0.02)	39.78% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 47.54% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.65% (

-0.11)

58.35% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.04% (

-0.09)

78.96% (

0.08)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

-0.14)

33.37% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

-0.15)

70% (

0.14)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35% (

-0.01)

28.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.54% (

-0.01)

64.46%

Score Analysis

Valenciennes 32.3%

Pau 39.78%

Draw 27.92%

Valenciennes	Draw	Pau
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.3%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.78%