Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.01) 
