Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
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