SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Varda SE in this match.
| Result | ||
| Varda SE | Draw | Fehervar |
42.41% ( 0.26) | 25.81% ( 0.05) | 31.78% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% ( -0.33) | 50.21% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( -0.29) | 72.17% ( 0.29) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.01) | 23.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( -0.02) | 57.54% ( 0.02) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -0.37) | 29.59% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -0.45) | 65.62% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varda SE | Draw | Fehervar |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.41% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.78% |
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