SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
36.33% ( 0.2) | 26.65% ( 0) | 37.01% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% ( -0.01) | 52.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% ( -0.01) | 74.54% ( 0) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.12) | 28.05% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( 0.15) | 63.71% ( -0.15) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( -0.13) | 27.65% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -0.16) | 63.19% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.01% |
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