SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
30.08% ( -0.12) | 28.03% ( 0.02) | 41.88% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.47% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.68% ( -0.13) | 59.32% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.28% ( -0.1) | 79.72% ( 0.1) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% ( -0.16) | 35.51% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.72% ( -0.17) | 72.28% ( 0.17) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( -0) | 27.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% ( -0.01) | 63.56% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.88% |
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