SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Varnamo |
55.6% ( -0.3) | 22.39% ( 0.14) | 22.01% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( -0.42) | 42.53% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.42) | 64.93% ( 0.42) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.83% ( -0.24) | 15.17% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.22% ( -0.46) | 43.78% ( 0.46) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -0.08) | 33.13% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( -0.09) | 69.73% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.01% |
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