SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Mjallby AIF | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | IFK Norrkoping | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sirius | 10 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Varnamo | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Varbergs BoIS | 10 | -8 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Varnamo |
49.9% ( 0.06) | 25.6% ( -0) | 24.5% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% ( -0.05) | 53.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( -0.04) | 74.98% ( 0.04) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( 0.01) | 21.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.53% ( 0.01) | 54.46% ( -0.01) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( -0.09) | 36.92% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( -0.09) | 73.71% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 24.5% |
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