SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Varnamo |
30.67% ( 0.16) | 26.11% ( 0.15) | 43.22% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( -0.53) | 51.86% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% ( -0.46) | 73.61% ( 0.46) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( -0.15) | 31.18% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.48% ( -0.18) | 67.52% ( 0.19) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( -0.38) | 23.83% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( -0.54) | 58.01% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mjallby AIF | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.67% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.21% |
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