Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for GAIS had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest GAIS win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.