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Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Doosan Arena
HL

Plzen
1 - 0
Hearts

Oyegoke (90+6' og.)
Jemelka (69'), Kalvach (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Devlin (22'), Vargas (36'), Oyegoke (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Falkirk 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Viktoria Plzen 3-0 Hearts

Hearts will make their first European trip of the season more in hope than expectation, as Plzen are in excellent form and boast an impressive pedigree. By contrast, the Jambos have been stuck in second gear so far, and they may already be out of the contest before next week's second leg in Scotland. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Viktoria Plzen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Viktoria Plzen.

Result
Viktoria PlzenDrawHearts
50.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 24.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.06% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22% (0.027000000000001 0.03)46.78% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (0.026 0.03)69.04% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)18.41% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)49.57% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (0.051000000000002 0.05)32.8% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (0.058 0.06)69.36% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Plzen 50.85%
    Hearts 25.07%
    Draw 24.07%
Viktoria PlzenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 50.85%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ceske Budejovice 0-3 Plzen
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Plzen 1-0 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Plzen 5-0 MFK Karvina
Sunday, August 11 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-2 Plzen
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Jablonec 0-0 Plzen
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Plzen 1-0 Hradec Kralove
Sunday, July 28 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Falkirk 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee 3-1 Hearts
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-0 Rangers
Saturday, August 3 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Hearts
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hearts 1-5 Spurs
Wednesday, July 17 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hearts 3-3 Rangers
Saturday, May 18 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership


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