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HL
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 18, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
RL

Hearts
3 - 3
Rangers

Shankland (33'), Lembikisa (82'), Tagawa (90+5')
Rowles (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McCausland (52'), Cantwell (69'), Silva (79')
Dowell (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 5-2 Dundee
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-2 Rangers

An entertaining end-to-end contest could on the cards between these two teams in what is now a dead-rubber fixture. You could argue that Rangers are still favourites to come out on top even without anything riding on this clash, but we believe that Hearts will give the Tynecastle faithful something to cheer and may find a way to claim at least a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRangers
26.27% (-1.933 -1.93) 22.44% (0.067 0.07) 51.29% (1.873 1.87)
Both teams to score 61.68% (-1.994 -1.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (-1.88 -1.88)38.28% (1.888 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (-2.027 -2.03)60.56% (2.036 2.04)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-2.311 -2.31)27.33% (2.318 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-3.1 -3.1)62.79% (3.109 3.11)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)15.12% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.31% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)43.69% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 26.27%
    Rangers 51.29%
    Draw 22.43%
HeartsDrawRangers
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-0 @ 5.36% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.48% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 26.27%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.212 0.21)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.672 0.67)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.624 0.62)
1-3 @ 6.02% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 4.64% (0.386 0.39)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.85% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.19% (0.179 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 51.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Dundee
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 3-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 Hearts
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, April 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hearts 4-2 Livingston
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 5-2 Dundee
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Rangers
Saturday, May 11 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 4-1 Kilmarnock
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Rangers
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, April 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Dundee 0-0 Rangers
Wednesday, April 17 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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