Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.