SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Hearts |
40.2% ( -0.16) | 24.07% ( 0.06) | 35.72% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.01% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.61% ( -0.29) | 41.38% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.21% ( -0.3) | 63.78% ( 0.3) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.2) | 20.76% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -0.31) | 53.39% ( 0.31) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( -0.08) | 23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( -0.12) | 56.8% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.72% |
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