SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kolos Kovalivka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
35.74% ( -0.26) | 27.57% ( 0.08) | 36.69% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.37% ( -0.33) | 56.63% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( -0.26) | 77.6% ( 0.27) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( -0.32) | 30.22% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.62% ( -0.39) | 66.38% ( 0.39) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0.05) | 29.63% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( -0.06) | 65.68% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.68% |
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