SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
14.29% ( 0.37) | 19.27% ( 0.17) | 66.45% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( 0.07) | 41.21% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.39% ( 0.07) | 63.61% ( -0.06) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% ( 0.57) | 41.08% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% ( 0.5) | 77.63% ( -0.5) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.47% ( -0.12) | 11.53% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.56% ( -0.27) | 36.44% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.65% Total : 14.29% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.27% | 0-2 @ 11.05% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.96% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 7.08% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.81% Total : 66.44% |
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