SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
32.07% ( 0.1) | 27.83% ( -0.05) | 40.1% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.92% ( 0.2) | 58.08% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.25% ( 0.16) | 78.75% ( -0.16) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( 0.17) | 33.4% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% ( 0.19) | 70.03% ( -0.19) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( 0.07) | 28.33% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% ( 0.09) | 64.06% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.06% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.1% |
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