SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
42.28% ( -0.12) | 27.71% ( 0.26) | 30.01% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.78% ( -1) | 58.22% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.14% ( -0.79) | 78.86% ( 0.78) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( -0.53) | 27.2% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( -0.7) | 62.61% ( 0.69) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% ( -0.63) | 34.98% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( -0.67) | 71.72% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.01% |
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