Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
