Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
