Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
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