Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.18) 
