Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej
Matuszewski (7'), Zreľak (38', 46', 71'), Szymonowicz (49')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Stal Mielec.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warta Poznan would win this match.
| Result |
| Warta Poznan | Draw | Stal Mielec |
45.89% ( -0.19) | 28.04% ( 0.07) | 26.07% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.18% ( -0.11) |
| 38.92% ( -0.18) | 61.08% ( 0.18) |
| 18.94% ( -0.14) | 81.05% ( 0.14) |
| 73.34% ( -0.18) | 26.65% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.1% ( -0.24) | 61.9% ( 0.24) |
| 60.24% ( -0) | 39.76% ( 0) |
