Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion MOSiR
Domanski (22'), Ehmann (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luis (75')
Zurawski (27')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Warta Poznan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Warta Poznan in this match.
| Result |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Warta Poznan |
31.32% ( -0.07) | 27.09% ( 0) | 41.59% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.67% ( -0.05) |
| 44.5% ( -0.05) | 55.5% ( 0.05) |
| 23.32% ( -0.04) | 76.68% ( 0.04) |
| 67.41% ( -0.08) | 32.59% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.87% ( -0.08) | 69.13% ( 0.08) |
| 73.69% ( 0.01) | 26.31% ( -0.01) |
