SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Warta Poznan |
56.65% ( -1.29) | 24.21% ( 0.47) | 19.13% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 46.74% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( -0.71) | 53.65% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( -0.6) | 75.15% ( 0.6) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( -0.75) | 18.8% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( -1.26) | 50.22% ( 1.26) |
| Warta Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( 0.54) | 42.43% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.19% ( 0.46) | 78.8% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Warta Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.05% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.13% |
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