Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25
Mar 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
INEA stadion
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Warta Poznan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Warta Poznan |
56.65% ( -1.29) | 24.21% ( 0.47) | 19.13% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 46.74% ( 0.01) |
| 46.34% ( -0.71) | 53.65% ( 0.71) |
| 24.85% ( -0.6) | 75.15% ( 0.6) |
| 81.19% ( -0.75) | 18.8% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.77% ( -1.26) | 50.22% ( 1.26) |
| 57.57% ( 0.54) | 42.43% ( -0.54) |
