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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Lech Poznan |
30.26% ( -0.12) | 26.02% ( 0.01) | 43.72% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% ( -0.09) | 51.66% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( -0.08) | 73.44% ( 0.08) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( -0.13) | 31.37% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% ( -0.16) | 67.73% ( 0.16) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( 0.01) | 23.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( 0.02) | 57.54% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.26% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.71% |
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