SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
41.17% ( -0.47) | 27.05% ( 0.04) | 31.79% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 49.97% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.8% ( -0.01) | 55.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.56% ( -0.01) | 76.44% ( 0.01) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( -0.25) | 26.39% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.45% ( -0.34) | 61.55% ( 0.34) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% ( 0.3) | 32.11% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% ( 0.34) | 68.59% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.79% |
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