SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
51.05% ( 0.05) | 24.04% ( -0.02) | 24.91% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( 0.04) | 46.75% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( 0.04) | 69.01% ( -0.04) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( 0.04) | 18.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.57% ( 0.06) | 49.43% ( -0.06) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( -0) | 32.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% ( -0) | 69.48% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.91% |
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