SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
39.21% ( -0.06) | 23.45% ( 0.25) | 37.34% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 63.57% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.86% ( -1.29) | 38.14% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.59% ( -1.39) | 60.41% ( 1.39) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( -0.58) | 19.83% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.09% ( -0.95) | 51.91% ( 0.96) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( -0.66) | 20.71% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.68% ( -1.05) | 53.32% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
| 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.34% |
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