SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| WSG Swarovski Tirol | Draw | Sturm Graz |
27.77% ( 0.37) | 25.09% ( 0.14) | 47.14% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( -0.33) | 49.09% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -0.3) | 71.16% ( 0.3) |
| WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( 0.11) | 31.87% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% ( 0.13) | 68.32% ( -0.12) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( -0.35) | 20.85% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.46% ( -0.55) | 53.54% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| WSG Swarovski Tirol | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.77% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.13% |
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