SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
50.69% ( 0.29) | 22.88% ( -0.01) | 26.43% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.75% ( -0.19) | 40.25% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% ( -0.2) | 62.63% ( 0.19) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( 0.03) | 16.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.6% ( 0.06) | 45.4% ( -0.06) |
| WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( -0.3) | 28.26% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( -0.39) | 63.97% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 50.69% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.58% Total : 26.43% |
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