Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-21s had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
27.32% ( 0.03) | 20.08% ( 0.01) | 52.6% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 71.7% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.3% ( -0.04) | 25.7% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.17% ( -0.05) | 45.83% ( 0.05) |
West Bromwich Albion Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% ( -0) | 19.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% ( 0) | 52.17% ( -0.01) |
Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.61% ( -0.03) | 10.38% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.09% ( -0.06) | 33.9% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.32% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.08% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 5.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 52.6% |
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