SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.19%) and 3-2 (4.72%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
41.92% ( 0.28) | 21.34% ( 0.05) | 36.73% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 71.86% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.61% ( -0.32) | 27.39% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.01% ( -0.41) | 47.98% ( 0.41) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( -0.04) | 14.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.03% ( -0.07) | 41.97% ( 0.06) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( -0.28) | 16.22% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.28% ( -0.51) | 45.72% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.34% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.63% Total : 36.73% |
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