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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
27.93% ( -0.08) | 20.39% ( -0.05) | 51.68% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 71.05% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.26% ( 0.19) | 26.74% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.85% ( 0.24) | 47.15% ( -0.24) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( 0.05) | 20.19% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.51% ( 0.08) | 52.49% ( -0.08) |
| West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.02% ( 0.1) | 10.98% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.77% ( 0.22) | 35.23% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | West Ham United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.93% | 1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.39% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.68% |
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