SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.71%) and 2-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
33.2% ( 0.14) | 20.45% ( 0.14) | 46.34% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 74.32% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.13% ( -0.65) | 23.87% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.57% ( -0.86) | 43.42% ( 0.86) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.25) | 16.08% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.51% ( -0.46) | 45.48% ( 0.46) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.56% ( -0.32) | 11.43% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.77% ( -0.7) | 36.22% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.48% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.45% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.15% Total : 46.34% |
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