Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 59.62%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 21.28% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
21.28% (![]() | 19.1% (![]() | 59.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.42% (![]() | 27.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.79% (![]() | 48.22% (![]() |
Derby County Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% (![]() | 25.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.12% (![]() | 59.88% (![]() |
Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.73% (![]() | 9.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.68% (![]() | 31.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
2-1 @ 5.28% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 21.28% | 1-1 @ 7.66% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.29% ( ![]() Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.1% | 1-2 @ 9.1% (![]() 1-3 @ 7.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 4.3% Total : 59.62% |
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