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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 62.81%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 19.06% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 62.81% | 18.12% ( -0) | 19.06% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 67.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.9% | 26.09% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.67% ( 0) | 46.32% ( -0.01) |
| West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.85% | 8.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.42% ( 0) | 28.57% ( -0.01) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( -0) | 26.11% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% | 61.17% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-0 @ 5.59% 1-0 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 5.04% 4-1 @ 4.71% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-2 @ 3.16% 5-1 @ 2.36% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.76% 5-2 @ 1.58% 4-3 @ 1.41% 6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 4.2% Total : 62.81% | 1-1 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 6.03% 3-3 @ 2.26% 0-0 @ 2.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.12% | 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-2 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.72% Total : 19.06% |
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