Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Yverdon Sport win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
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