Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Basel had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Basel	Draw	Luzern
37.5% ( 0.12)	24.26% ( 0.22)	38.24% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 60.5% (

-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.88% (

-1.06)

42.12% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47% (

-1.07)

64.53% (

1.07)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

-0.41)

22.41% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.08% (

-0.62)

55.92% (

0.62)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.97% (

-0.63)

22.03% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.65% (

-0.97)

55.36% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Basel 37.5%

Luzern 38.24%

Draw 24.25%

Basel	Draw	Luzern
2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.5%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.24%