SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Basel |
43.87% ( -0.42) | 24.12% ( 0.11) | 32.01% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 59.73% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% ( -0.4) | 42.6% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( -0.4) | 65% ( 0.4) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( -0.35) | 19.62% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.43% ( -0.57) | 51.57% ( 0.57) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( -0) | 25.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( -0.01) | 60.61% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.01% |
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