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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
1 - 0
Korona Kielce

Kurminowski (17')
Kopacz (74'), Nalepa (90+7')
Kopacz (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Trejo (40'), Blanik (40'), Godinho (60'), Strzebonski (84')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 3-3 Legia
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zaglebie Lubin in this match.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawKorona Kielce
44.16% (-1.336 -1.34) 27.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 28.2% (1.323 1.32)
Both teams to score 46.63% (0.796 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.33% (0.60100000000001 0.6)58.67% (-0.60100000000001 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.79% (0.465 0.47)79.21% (-0.465 -0.47)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)26.42% (0.404 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.542 -0.54)61.58% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (1.424 1.42)36.63% (-1.425 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (1.404 1.4)73.42% (-1.404 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 44.16%
    Korona Kielce 28.2%
    Draw 27.63%
Zaglebie LubinDrawKorona Kielce
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.401 -0.4)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.68% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.275 0.28)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.26 0.26)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.171 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.146 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Cracovia
Sunday, February 18 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, February 10 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Slask Wroclaw
Friday, December 15 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, December 8 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 0-3 Legia
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 3-3 Legia
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 3-1 Korona Kielce
Monday, February 19 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-1 LKS Lodz
Monday, February 12 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 Korona Kielce
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 0-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, December 9 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Lech Poznan
Saturday, December 2 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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