SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
44.47% ( 0.13) | 26.14% ( -0.01) | 29.38% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% ( -0) | 52.54% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( -0) | 74.2% ( 0) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( 0.06) | 23.52% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.44% ( 0.09) | 57.56% ( -0.08) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( -0.08) | 32.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% ( -0.1) | 68.98% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.38% |
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