SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
32.94% ( -0.01) | 27.95% ( -0) | 39.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.66% ( 0.02) | 58.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% ( 0.01) | 78.96% ( -0.02) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% | 32.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( 0) | 69.5% ( -0) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.02) | 29.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% ( 0.02) | 64.94% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.93% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 39.1% |
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