SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Veres had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Veres win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Veres |
46.18% ( -2.17) | 25.12% ( 0.98) | 28.7% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( -2.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% ( -3.5) | 48.68% ( 3.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( -3.26) | 70.79% ( 3.26) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -2.32) | 21.11% ( 2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.06% ( -3.74) | 53.94% ( 3.74) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( -0.93) | 30.96% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( -1.1) | 67.27% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Veres |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.73) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.48)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.34)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.57) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.89)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.88) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.7% |
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