Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Veres had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Veres win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.