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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Apr 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
2 - 1
Dnipro-1

Rusyn (54'), Guerrero (58')
Guerrero (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dovbyk (90+3')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Dnipro-1.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-0 Luhansk
Saturday, April 8 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 5-2 Lviv
Sunday, April 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawDnipro-1
30.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 24.69% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 45.12% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.81% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.191 0.19)46.01% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68% (0.18 0.18)68.32% (-0.182 -0.18)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.087999999999994 0.09)28.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (0.112 0.11)64.35% (-0.113 -0.11)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (0.102 0.1)20.47% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05% (0.161 0.16)52.94% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 30.19%
    Dnipro-1 45.12%
    Draw 24.69%
Zorya LuhanskDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.19%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-0 Luhansk
Saturday, April 8 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 3-0 Rukh Lviv
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Luhansk
Saturday, March 18 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 3-1 Lviv
Saturday, March 11 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 2-3 Luhansk
Sunday, March 5 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 2-2 Kovalivka
Thursday, December 1 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 5-2 Lviv
Sunday, April 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 0-3 Dnipro-1
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Veres 0-1 Dnipro-1
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-1 Dynamo Kiev
Sunday, March 12 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Oleksandriya 2-2 Dnipro-1
Saturday, March 4 at 10am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-0 Larnaca
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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