SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
48.15% ( 0.11) | 24.39% ( 0.12) | 27.47% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( -0.65) | 46.28% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( -0.62) | 68.57% ( 0.63) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( -0.21) | 19.3% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.95% ( -0.35) | 51.05% ( 0.36) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.5) | 30.63% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( -0.6) | 66.88% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 27.47% |
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