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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 29, 2023 at 11am UK
Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
3 - 1
Chornomorets

Guerrero (16'), Antyukh (34'), Rusyn (79')
Imerekov (43')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ermakov (44')
Avagimian (19'), Gucek (64'), Badibanga (89')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kovalivka 0-1 Luhansk
Friday, April 21 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-3 Chornomorets
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawChornomorets Odesa
48.15% (0.108 0.11) 24.39% (0.115 0.12) 27.47% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 55.98% (-0.559 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (-0.654 -0.65)46.28% (0.664 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (-0.621 -0.62)68.57% (0.63000000000001 0.63)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (-0.211 -0.21)19.3% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95% (-0.355 -0.35)51.05% (0.363 0.36)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.503 -0.5)30.63% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (-0.6 -0.6)66.88% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 48.15%
    Chornomorets Odesa 27.47%
    Draw 24.38%
Zorya LuhanskDrawChornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.205 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 7% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kovalivka 0-1 Luhansk
Friday, April 21 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 2-1 Dnipro-1
Saturday, April 15 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-0 Luhansk
Saturday, April 8 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 3-0 Rukh Lviv
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Luhansk
Saturday, March 18 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 3-1 Lviv
Saturday, March 11 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-3 Chornomorets
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 0-1 Vorskla
Sunday, April 16 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-1 Chornomorets
Sunday, April 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 2-2 Shakhtar
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Inhulets 1-2 Chornomorets
Sunday, March 19 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Chornomorets 1-1 Metalist Kharkiv
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League


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