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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 18, 2023 at 12pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj

Dynamo Kiev
0 - 1
Luhansk


Tymchyk (31'), Sydorchuk (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guerrero (83')
Rusyn (9'), Antyukh (30'), Guerrero (40'), Batagov (70'), Butko (76')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dynamo Kiev and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-1 Dynamo Kiev
Sunday, March 12 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 3-1 Lviv
Saturday, March 11 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo KievDrawZorya Luhansk
53.77% (0.261 0.26) 24.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 21.83% (-0.257 -0.26)
Both teams to score 50.07% (-0.325 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (-0.261 -0.26)51.25% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (-0.23 -0.23)73.08% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01%18.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46%50.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (-0.402 -0.4)38.19% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (-0.389 -0.39)74.95% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Kiev 53.76%
    Zorya Luhansk 21.83%
    Draw 24.39%
Dynamo KievDrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 12.04% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 10% (0.097 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.075 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.39%
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 21.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-1 Dynamo Kiev
Sunday, March 12 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Inhulets
Saturday, March 4 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 3-0 Metal Kharkiv
Wednesday, November 30 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-0 Metalist Kharkiv
Saturday, November 26 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Veres 0-1 Dynamo Kiev
Monday, November 21 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Inhulets 1-2 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, November 17 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 3-1 Lviv
Saturday, March 11 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 2-3 Luhansk
Sunday, March 5 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 2-2 Kovalivka
Thursday, December 1 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 1-1 Minai
Sunday, November 27 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Luhansk 4-1 Oleksandriya
Friday, November 18 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-2 Luhansk
Sunday, November 13 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League


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